TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 31, 2026?

Volume:
$2,081

45° to 46°

 - Kalshi

45° to 46° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

45° to 46°

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$931
N/A
N/A
$760
Settled
Yes
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$216
Settled
No
kalshi

40° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected cold snap in Washington DC on October 31, 2026, allowing participants to assess how low temperatures might drop on that specific date. The outcome depends entirely on official weather recordings from a designated monitoring station.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 40°F or below, 41-42°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, or above 48°F. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. If final data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the Exchange’s discretion governs any discrepancies or data integrity issues.