TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$6,001

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,222
N/A
N/A
$1,012
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,036
N/A
N/A
$2,003
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$984
N/A
N/A
$981
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$889
N/A
N/A
$760
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$495
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$273
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55° or below, 56-57°, 58-59°, 60-61°, 62-63°, or above 63°. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected value is released or the expiration date is reached. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential resolution adjustments.