TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$3,245

44° or above

 - Kalshi

44° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

44° or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,978
N/A
N/A
$1,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$675
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
No
kalshi

36° to 37°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
$231
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
No
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
kalshi

35° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes into narrow temperature bands. Each band represents a possible range for the minimum temperature, allowing participants to assess probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Five markets cover specific temperature ranges: 35° or below, 36°-37°, 38°-39°, 40°-41°, 42°-43°, and a sixth market covers anything above 43°. The official data source is The Weather Company, and all participants must rely solely on its reported values, even if other services show different numbers. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.