TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes into narrow temperature bands. Each band represents a possible range for the minimum temperature, allowing participants to assess probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Five markets cover specific temperature ranges: 35° or below, 36°-37°, 38°-39°, 40°-41°, 42°-43°, and a sixth market covers anything above 43°. The official data source is The Weather Company, and all participants must rely solely on its reported values, even if other services show different numbers. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.