TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume:
$5,314

61° to 62°

 - Kalshi

61° to 62° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

61° to 62°

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$971
N/A
N/A
$677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,495
N/A
N/A
$3,490
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
$324
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$85
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 54°F or below, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, 61-62°F, or above 62°F. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in initial data publications, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential revisions under these rules.