TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.
The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. In such cases, expiration may be extended until a corrected revision is published or until the official Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of “Final” on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.