TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$1,830

60° to 61°

 - Kalshi

60° to 61° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

60° to 61°

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
$346
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$192
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. In such cases, expiration may be extended until a corrected revision is published or until the official Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of “Final” on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.