TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 10, 2026?

Volume:
$3,291

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$873
N/A
N/A
$822
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
$680
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$448
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$466
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$183
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date, offering different possible temperature ranges as potential outcomes. The resolution depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how climate conditions on that day might align with various scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 49°F or below, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or 58°F and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and users should exercise caution when interpreting it. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments due to errors.