TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Washington DC on May 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on May 30, 2026?

Volume:
$11,330

61° to 62°

 - Kalshi

61° to 62° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

61° to 62°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,843
N/A
N/A
$2,523
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,779
N/A
N/A
$2,670
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,433
N/A
N/A
$1,479
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,739
N/A
N/A
$1,230
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,093
N/A
N/A
$810
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$443
N/A
N/A
$434
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The minimum overnight temperature in Washington DC on May 30, 2026, will be recorded according to the National Weather Service's daily climatological report.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Washington DC on May 30 is priced through binary or range-based contracts that allow traders to buy or sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds. Prices reflect the probability that the actual low will fall within each defined range. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether the temperature will be warmer or colder than market consensus. The contract design enables precise temperature forecasting while maintaining liquidity across multiple outcome buckets throughout the trading period leading to May 31, 2026.

The Lowest temperature in Washington DC on May 30 market resolves on May 31, 2026, after the calendar day concludes and official temperature data becomes available. Resolution is determined by the actual minimum temperature recorded in Washington DC on May 30, 2026, as reported by the designated weather authority. Once the official low is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or contract specification the recorded temperature matches, determining payouts for all traders holding positions in that outcome.

Several factors could shift market odds for the lowest temperature in Washington DC on May 30. Long-range weather pattern changes, such as shifts in the jet stream or development of high or low pressure systems, directly influence seasonal temperature expectations. Climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and Atlantic hurricane season activity can alter spring weather regimes. As May 2026 approaches, increasingly accurate 10-day and extended forecasts will refine market pricing. Historical temperature records and emerging climate trends also inform trader positioning throughout the prediction period.