TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The overnight low temperature in Washington DC on June 3, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on June 3, 2026, as reported by the relevant meteorological authority. The outcome will be matched against the temperature ranges offered in the contract specifications to determine which bracket the actual minimum falls into. Once the day concludes and the official reading is confirmed, the market settles and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors could shift market odds before June 3, 2026. Seasonal climate patterns and long-range forecasts released by NOAA or other agencies may indicate warmer or cooler trends for early June. Major weather systems, jet stream positioning, and anomalies in Atlantic sea-surface temperatures can influence DC's minimum temperature. As the event date nears, medium-range forecasts become more reliable and will likely drive significant repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records and emerging climate data could prompt traders to adjust their positions on expected outcomes.