TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event date, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Washington DC on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Traders must access the latest data from the specified NWS URL after the date to determine resolution. The markets are divided into six mutually exclusive temperature ranges: 69°F or below, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, and 78°F or above. Only one market will resolve as 'Yes' depending on where the official minimum temperature falls within these ranges. All secondary rules emphasize that while third-party weather sources may offer preliminary guidance, the NWS report is definitive, and users should be aware of potential rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary data that could affect interpretation before the final report is released.