TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$3,956

75° or above

 - Kalshi

75° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,351
N/A
N/A
$1,782
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$291
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

66° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Traders must access the data via the provided NWS URL, selecting the "Observed Weather" tab and choosing the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. The latest published report is the binding source, with all outcomes determined by where the recorded minimum falls within the specified temperature ranges: 66°F or below, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, or above 74°F. While external weather services may offer preliminary or model-based estimates, only the NWS report is authoritative. Traders should be aware that NWS data may undergo revision, rounding, or conversion adjustments, and should use caution when interpreting any preliminary figures prior to the final report's release.