TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends entirely on official National Weather Service data for that day, with different temperature ranges determining the result. Traders must rely on verified reports rather than third-party forecasts.
The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in Washington DC on August 4, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market resolves to Yes if the temperature falls within a specific range: below 65°F, 65°F to 66°F, 67°F to 68°F, 69°F to 70°F, 71°F to 72°F, or above 72°F. The final determination uses the official NWS data, not third-party sources, and traders should be aware of potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the outcome resolving to the market whose temperature range matches the actual recorded minimum temperature.