TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$9,635

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,050
N/A
N/A
$2,406
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,027
N/A
N/A
$1,496
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,410
N/A
N/A
$1,299
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
$1,005
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$939
N/A
N/A
$930
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event occurs. Participants assess weather forecasts and historical trends to predict the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Traders must access the data via the provided NWS URL, selecting the "Observed Weather" tab and choosing the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. The most recent published report for that date is authoritative, accounting for any post-event data revisions. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary or model-based estimates, they carry no binding weight—this event exclusively uses NWS-reported figures, with participants advised to remain alert for potential adjustments in official recordings due to measurement rounding or reporting lags inherent in meteorological data collection.