TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event occurs. Participants assess weather forecasts and historical trends to predict the result.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Traders must access the data via the provided NWS URL, selecting the "Observed Weather" tab and choosing the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. The most recent published report for that date is authoritative, accounting for any post-event data revisions. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary or model-based estimates, they carry no binding weight—this event exclusively uses NWS-reported figures, with participants advised to remain alert for potential adjustments in official recordings due to measurement rounding or reporting lags inherent in meteorological data collection.