TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$8,334

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,148
N/A
N/A
$3,058
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,871
N/A
N/A
$1,191
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$562
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$568
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$408
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event date, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature reading for Washington DC on August 2, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Traders must access the data via the provided NWS URL, selecting the "Observed Weather" tab and the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. The final market outcome is determined exclusively by this official report, regardless of other weather sources. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should await the final published report before finalizing positions. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 69°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, or above 76°F, with the market resolving to Yes only if the recorded low falls within its defined range.