TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the event date, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature reading for Washington DC on August 2, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Traders must access the data via the provided NWS URL, selecting the "Observed Weather" tab and the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. The final market outcome is determined exclusively by this official report, regardless of other weather sources. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should await the final published report before finalizing positions. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 69°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, or above 76°F, with the market resolving to Yes only if the recorded low falls within its defined range.