TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 14, 2026?

Volume:
$12,847

77° or above

 - Kalshi

77° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° or above

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,257
N/A
N/A
$5,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,230
N/A
N/A
$1,469
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$470
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
$657
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded in Washington DC on August 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 68° or below, 69-70°, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, or 77° and above. The market associated with the actual recorded minimum temperature will resolve to Yes, while all others resolve to No. Participants should verify data via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab for Washington-National with the Daily Climate Report. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, and users are cautioned that other weather services may report differing values. The latest available data for the date must be used, acknowledging that update frequencies can vary by location.