TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$10,351

70° to 71°

 - Kalshi

70° to 71° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° to 71°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,280
N/A
N/A
$2,106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,825
N/A
N/A
$2,145
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,101
N/A
N/A
$1,205
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,724
N/A
N/A
$1,246
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$193
Settled
No
kalshi

65° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$99
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Washington DC on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the fact, making it a test of predictive accuracy about weather conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC for August 1, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington-National. Traders must access the data via the provided NWS URL, selecting the "Observed Weather" tab and choosing the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. The latest available report version determines the outcome, though users should be aware that different locations may update at varying frequencies. While third-party weather services like AccuWeather or Google Weather may offer guidance, they are not authoritative—only the NWS report serves as the binding reference. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early or unofficial readings. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold: 65°F or below, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, or above 73°F, with the correct range resolving its respective market as "Yes" and all others as "No."