TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 28?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 28?

Volume:
$14,618

22°C

 - Polymarket

22°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

22°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

26°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Tokyo's lowest temperature will reach 22°C on May 28, 2026, based on readings from Tokyo Haneda Airport Station. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that the low will be 22°C—stands at 100.0%, while the alternative outcome that temperatures will reach 26°C or higher sits at 0.0%. Resolution will be determined by historical weather data from Weather Underground. Watch the actual temperature readings as May 28, 2026 approaches to see whether conditions align with the forecasted low of 22°C.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the lowest temperature prediction in Tokyo on May 28 on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and $4,146 in 24-hour trading volume. Users can monitor how market sentiment evolves as new weather data and forecasts emerge. The dashboard aggregates all contracts related to this temperature event, allowing traders to see liquidity depth and compare different temperature thresholds in one view.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the May 28 trading day in Tokyo concludes. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Tokyo on that date, sourced from authoritative meteorological data. Once the temperature is confirmed, the contract settles automatically, paying out holders of the correct outcome. Traders should monitor weather station reports and official announcements as the date approaches to understand final conditions and any potential delays in data confirmation.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal anomalies, and updated meteorological models will drive price movement. El Niño or La Niña conditions, jet stream positioning, and high-pressure systems over East Asia are key catalysts. Real-time weather forecasts released 10–14 days before May 28 will sharpen market expectations. Unexpected cold fronts or heat waves in late May could trigger sharp repricing. Traders should monitor Japan Meteorological Agency updates, global climate indices, and historical May temperature data for Tokyo to anticipate market swings.