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Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 30?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 30?

Volume:
$20,059

18°C

 - Polymarket

18°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

18°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Shanghai on May 30, 2026, based on readings from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a low of 19°C—stands at 37.0%, while a low of 20°C carries 28.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by historical weather data from Wunderground. Watch the actual temperature reading on May 30, 2026, as it will directly determine which outcome resolves to yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time consensus from active traders betting on Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 30. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on meteorological models and historical data, prediction markets incorporate dynamic information and financial incentives. Traders continuously update prices based on weather patterns, seasonal trends, and emerging atmospheric data. This crowd-sourced approach often captures shifts in weather expectations faster than static forecasts, though both methods provide valuable perspectives on the likely temperature range.

The market resolves on May 30, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 30 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official temperature data for that date. Traders should monitor weather reports and official meteorological records as the event date approaches to understand how outcomes will be verified. The specific temperature threshold or range that determines each outcome is defined in the market's terms, so review those details carefully before trading to ensure your position aligns with your weather expectations.

Several factors could shift odds for Shanghai's May 30 low temperature. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in monsoon timing or unexpected cold fronts, typically move prices significantly. Long-range weather forecasts and seasonal climate outlooks released closer to May will influence trader positioning. Urban heat island effects and local pollution levels can also impact minimum temperatures. Additionally, any unusual atmospheric conditions or tropical cyclone activity in the region could trigger rapid repricing. Traders should monitor meteorological updates and seasonal forecasts regularly to stay informed.