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Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?

Volume:
$38,244

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Shanghai temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the lowest temperature forecast in Shanghai on June 30. The interface displays current market prices, 24-hour trading volume of $24,271, and historical price movements as traders adjust their positions based on weather data and forecasts. This market aggregates trader sentiment into a single probability estimate, updated continuously as new information emerges and participants buy or sell shares.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader positioning and incentives. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical patterns, this market reflects what participants are willing to stake financially on the outcome. Comparing the current odds to published forecasts from Shanghai's meteorological bureau can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios than official predictions suggest.

This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once June 30 has passed and the lowest temperature for that day can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public weather data and official meteorological records for Shanghai. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the market end date once verified temperature readings are available.

Major weather pattern shifts, tropical cyclone activity, or unexpected atmospheric conditions could significantly alter trading odds in this market. Updated seasonal forecasts, changes in ocean temperatures, or shifts in monsoon patterns may prompt traders to reassess their positions. Real-time weather alerts and model updates from meteorological agencies often trigger price movements as participants react to new information. Political or environmental events affecting regional climate could also influence trader sentiment closer to the resolution date.