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Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 6?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 6?

Volume:
$18,930

16°C

 - Polymarket

16°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

16°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 6 is priced through outcome tokens representing specific temperature ranges or thresholds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about which outcome will occur, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%) reflecting implied probability. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in that outcome. Liquidity and order-book depth determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given price level.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after June 6 has concluded and the lowest temperature recorded in Seoul that day is confirmed. The outcome is determined by official temperature data from Seoul's primary weather monitoring station or the designated reference source specified in the market rules. Once the actual low temperature is recorded and verified, the corresponding outcome token is marked correct, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout based on the final odds.

Several factors could shift odds for Seoul's June 6 low temperature. Major weather pattern changes—such as the arrival of cold fronts, monsoon systems, or high-pressure systems—would alter forecasts and trader positioning. Updated seasonal climate outlooks, historical temperature anomalies, or shifts in long-range weather models could trigger repricing. As June 6 approaches, short-term forecasts become more reliable, typically narrowing the range of plausible outcomes and concentrating liquidity around the most likely temperature band.