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Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 29?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 29?

Volume:
$32,931

20°C

 - Polymarket

20°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

20°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Seoul temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the lowest temperature forecast in Seoul on June 29. You can monitor live price movements, 24-hour trading volume of $28,180, and historical price trends as traders update their positions based on weather models and seasonal data. This market aggregates trader sentiment into a single probability estimate, helping you see how the crowd is pricing the likelihood of specific temperature thresholds being reached on that date.

Prediction market odds reflect decentralized trader consensus and often incorporate meteorological forecasts, historical Seoul weather patterns, and real-time atmospheric data. Unlike traditional analyst predictions, which may rely on a single model or institution, this market crowdsources expectations across many participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing current odds to published seasonal forecasts and weather service projections can reveal where traders see upside or downside risk relative to official guidance.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once June 29 has passed and the lowest temperature in Seoul can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting from established meteorological sources, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Traders holding shares in the correct temperature range receive their payout based on the final verified reading.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and tropical system developments could significantly move this market. Real-time atmospheric pressure changes, jet stream positioning, and any unusual heat or cold fronts affecting East Asia in late June will influence trader positioning. Additionally, historical anomalies or climate data revisions may prompt traders to reassess their probability estimates as the event date approaches.