Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 2?

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 2 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell, with each share representing a specific temperature range or threshold. The current market price reflects the collective valuation of that outcome by active traders. Prices move continuously as new information about weather patterns, seasonal trends, and climate data emerges, allowing participants to adjust positions based on their expectations for Seoul's minimum temperature on the resolution date.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 2 has been recorded and verified. Resolution is determined by official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from Seoul's primary meteorological station or national weather service records. The outcome is binary or categorical depending on how the market outcomes are structured, with the recorded minimum temperature determining which outcome is correct and how trader positions settle.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated meteorological forecasts closer to June 2 could significantly move odds. El Niño or La Niña conditions, monsoon onset timing, and atmospheric pressure systems affecting East Asia may influence Seoul's minimum temperature. Additionally, historical temperature records for early June and real-time weather model updates released in the days before June 2 will likely trigger trader repositioning. Any unusual climate events or revisions to seasonal outlooks could shift market expectations substantially.