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Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 10?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 10?

Volume:
$37,091

17°C

 - Polymarket

17°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

17°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 10 is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds, with prices reflecting the probability of each outcome occurring. As new information emerges—seasonal forecasts, atmospheric patterns, or real-time weather data—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The market price at any moment represents the collective belief of active traders about which temperature outcome is most likely on that date.

The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 10 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from Seoul's primary weather station or designated meteorological authority. The actual minimum temperature recorded that day determines which outcome shares pay out. Traders should monitor the specific resolution criteria outlined in the market terms to understand exactly which data source and measurement method will be used to settle the event.

Several factors could shift odds for Seoul's lowest temperature on June 10. Major weather pattern changes—such as shifts in the East Asian monsoon, arrival of cold fronts, or high-pressure systems—will influence trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time atmospheric data releases typically trigger price movements. As June 10 approaches, daily weather models become more precise, causing traders to adjust positions. Urban heat island effects, pollution levels, and cloud cover predictions also play roles. Breaking news about unusual climate events or atmospheric anomalies could accelerate repricing.