TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$2,983

52° to 53°

 - Kalshi

52° to 53° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

52° to 53°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,551
N/A
N/A
$1,008
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
$664
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
$406
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$184
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the city might be on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Seattle (CLISEA) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45°F or below, 46°F to 47°F, 48°F to 49°F, 50°F to 51°F, 52°F to 53°F, or 54°F and above. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is the official determinant. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these resolution procedures.