TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$7,653

50° to 51°

 - Kalshi

50° to 51° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

50° to 51°

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,761
N/A
N/A
$1,591
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,775
N/A
N/A
$2,711
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,695
N/A
N/A
$1,568
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
$798
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market covers a specific temperature range: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, or above 53°. If the actual minimum falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves as Yes; all others resolve as No. Preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in initial reports. If final data remains unavailable by expiration, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.