TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 30, 2026?

Volume:
$2,553

41° to 42°

 - Kalshi

41° to 42° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

41° to 42°

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,167
N/A
N/A
$1,138
Settled
Yes
kalshi

43° or above

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
$380
Settled
No
kalshi

34° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
No
kalshi

39° to 40°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
$169
Settled
No
kalshi

35° to 36°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
No
kalshi

37° to 38°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather service. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting different levels of cold weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 30, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 34°F or below, 35-36°F, 37-38°F, 39-40°F, 41-42°F, or above 42°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.