TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$2,606

53° to 54°

 - Kalshi

53° to 54° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,311
N/A
N/A
$946
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
No
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather service. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the city might be on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Seattle (CLISEA) on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 46° or below, 47-48°, 49-50°, 51-52°, 53-54°, or 55° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and users should exercise caution with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. In the absence of available data by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.