TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 23, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 23, 2026?

Volume:
$4,670

44° to 45°

 - Kalshi

44° to 45° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

44° to 45°

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,046
N/A
N/A
$623
Settled
Yes
kalshi

46° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,012
N/A
N/A
$2,007
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
kalshi

37° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
$352
Settled
No
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Seattle on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather service. The outcome depends on where the actual temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting forecasts and historical climate patterns for that location and time of year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 23, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 37°F or below, 38–39°F, 40–41°F, 42–43°F, 44–45°F, or above 45°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.