TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$2,433

52° or above

 - Kalshi

52° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

52° or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,019
N/A
N/A
$855
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
No
kalshi

43° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather service. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting varied climate conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Seattle (CLISEA) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 43° or below, 44-45°, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, or above 51°F. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. All temperature data is subject to potential revision if the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication. In such cases, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. It is important to note that while preliminary readings may be available, only the final reported value from The Weather Company is authoritative, and the "Final" status on related websites does not guarantee immunity from revision or error correction.