TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 17, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 17, 2026?

Volume:
$2,605

48° to 49°

 - Kalshi

48° to 49° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

48° to 49°

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
$640
Settled
Yes
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or above

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$435
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$199
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
$186
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Seattle on a particular date in the future. Participants can evaluate how probable it is that the lowest temperature on that day falls within any of several defined intervals, based on data from a designated weather provider.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 17, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 46°F, 46–47°F, 48–49°F, 50–51°F, 52–53°F, or above 53°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion issues, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.