TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$1,857

51° to 52°

 - Kalshi

51° to 52° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

51° to 52°

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$324
Settled
Yes
kalshi

53° or above

0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$797
N/A
N/A
$482
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$162
Settled
No
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
No
kalshi

44° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Five markets cover specific temperature ranges: 44° or below, 45-46°, 47-48°, 49-50°, 51-52°, and 53° or above. If the recorded minimum falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of “Final” on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.