TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$2,805

41° to 42°

 - Kalshi

41° to 42° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

41° to 42°

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,338
N/A
N/A
$1,297
Settled
Yes
kalshi

39° to 40°

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$874
N/A
N/A
$835
Settled
No
kalshi

43° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$259
Settled
No
kalshi

35° to 36°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
No
kalshi

37° to 38°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
kalshi

34° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather service. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that overnight period, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 35°F, 35-36°F, 37-38°F, 39-40°F, 41-42°F, or above 42°F. The Weather Company's official reporting serves as the definitive source, even if other services show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date arrives, whichever comes first. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these error-resolution procedures.