TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$2,307

42° to 43°

 - Kalshi

42° to 43° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

42° to 43°

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$775
N/A
N/A
$749
Settled
Yes
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$739
N/A
N/A
$739
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
$307
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
No
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
kalshi

37° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected minimum temperature in Seattle on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the recorded low temperature falls within predefined numerical ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) for October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 37°F or below, 38-39°F, 40-41°F, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, or above 45°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until either a corrected publication or the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on Weather Company platforms is informational only and does not override these resolution procedures.