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Lowest temperature in Seattle on May 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on May 31, 2026?

Volume:
$3,973

46° to 47°

 - Kalshi

46° to 47° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on May 31, 2026?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

46° to 47°

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$629
0%
N/A
$586
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

48° or above

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,239
0%
N/A
$1,198
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

42° to 43°

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$930
0%
N/A
$804
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

39° or below

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$424
0%
N/A
$424
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

40° to 41°

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$377
0%
N/A
$377
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

44° to 45°

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
9¢
N/A
$374
0%
N/A
$358
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

The minimum temperature in Seattle on May 31, 2026, will be recorded according to the National Weather Service's daily climatological data. This event covers the full range of possible temperature outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a series of binary outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or range. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new weather data, seasonal forecasts, and climate signals emerge, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The most actively traded temperature ranges typically command tighter spreads and higher liquidity on the platform.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after May 31, 2026 has concluded and the actual lowest temperature in Seattle for that day is recorded. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated weather station or source, which is verified and used to determine which outcome contracts are correct. Once the final temperature is confirmed, winning shares are paid out at full value and losing shares expire worthless. The exact data source and measurement methodology are specified in the market's terms at launch.

Several factors could shift odds for Seattle's lowest temperature on May 31, 2026. Updated seasonal climate forecasts from NOAA or other meteorological agencies may indicate warmer or cooler-than-normal conditions for late May. Major atmospheric patterns, such as high-pressure systems or cold fronts developing weeks before the date, could influence trader expectations. Long-range model consensus and historical analogs for similar weather patterns may also drive trading activity. As May 2026 approaches, short-range forecasts will become increasingly precise, potentially causing sharp price movements as uncertainty narrows.