TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$10,399

59° or above

 - Kalshi

59° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

59° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,256
N/A
N/A
$3,922
Settled
Yes
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,691
N/A
N/A
$1,773
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
$722
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether temperature conditions will fall within certain ranges based on authoritative meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Seattle on July 27, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Seattle-Tacoma, WA. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50° or below, 51-52°, 53-54°, 55-56°, 57-58°, or 59° and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely exclusively on the final, officially published NWS data, noting that reporting nuances such as rounding or conversion methodologies may affect interpretations of preliminary data.