TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$20,668

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,783
N/A
N/A
$4,809
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,449
N/A
N/A
$4,261
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,540
N/A
N/A
$1,903
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
$979
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$878
N/A
N/A
$872
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
$812
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date, using official government data. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical patterns and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Seattle on July 26, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Seattle-Tacoma, WA. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 53°F or below, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, or above 61°F. The secondary rules emphasize that while third-party weather services may provide guidance, only the NWS report is authoritative. Traders must use the latest published data, as reporting frequencies vary by location, and should be aware that preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances that could affect market outcomes.