TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$3,857

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,890
N/A
N/A
$1,592
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,390
N/A
N/A
$1,193
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$198
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Seattle on August 4, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Seattle-Tacoma, WA. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50° or below, 51-52°, 53-54°, 55-56°, 57-58°, or 59° and above. The market resolving to 'Yes' is determined by which range the official NWS minimum temperature falls into. Traders must use the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party data sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing variances. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with only one resolving to 'Yes' based on the actual temperature recorded.