TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather service. Depending on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, different outcomes will be considered valid. The event provides multiple temperature brackets to capture various possible climate conditions for that day.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on August 30, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the minimum temperature is less than 46°F, the '45° or below' market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 46°F and 47°F, the '46° to 47°' market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues through successive markets for ranges of 48° to 49°, 50° to 51°, and 52° to 53°F. For any temperature above 53°F, the '54° or above' market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule emphasizing that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company’s official report is the sole determinant of the final outcome. Participants should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary data, as rounding and conversion differences may affect early readings before the final official value is published.