TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 30, 2026?

Volume:
$3,463

54° or above

 - Kalshi

54° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,986
N/A
N/A
$1,586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,075
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather service. Depending on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, different outcomes will be considered valid. The event provides multiple temperature brackets to capture various possible climate conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on August 30, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the minimum temperature is less than 46°F, the '45° or below' market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 46°F and 47°F, the '46° to 47°' market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues through successive markets for ranges of 48° to 49°, 50° to 51°, and 52° to 53°F. For any temperature above 53°F, the '54° or above' market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule emphasizing that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company’s official report is the sole determinant of the final outcome. Participants should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary data, as rounding and conversion differences may affect early readings before the final official value is published.