TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 28, 2026?

Volume:
$5,048

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,806
N/A
N/A
$1,321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° or above

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,051
N/A
N/A
$1,791
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$85
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather service. It helps participants assess climate conditions and make informed predictions about unusual weather patterns. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report from the chosen source.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on August 28, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market resolution. If the minimum temperature is less than 50°F, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 50°F and 51°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for temperature ranges of 52–53°F, 54–55°F, and 56–57°F. Finally, if the temperature is greater than 57°F, the sixth market resolves to Yes. All markets use The Weather Company as the sole source for official temperature data, with participants advised that preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences. No other weather data sources are considered official for resolution purposes.