TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 26, 2026?

Volume:
$4,766

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,379
N/A
N/A
$2,023
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
$655
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in Seattle on a specific date in the future. It uses a single authoritative weather source to determine the outcome, ensuring consistency despite variations in other weather reports. The event is designed to test predictive abilities regarding future climate conditions in a specific location.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on August 26, 2026, falls within specific Fahrenheit ranges as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: below 51°F, 51-52°F, 53-54°F, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, or above 58°F. The Weather Company’s official reporting serves as the sole arbiter, with all participants advised that preliminary data may vary due to rounding or conversion differences. This structure ensures objective resolution based on a single, trusted data source, eliminating ambiguity from disparate weather services.