TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 17, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 17, 2026?

Volume:
$22,344

53° to 54°

 - Kalshi

53° to 54° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,135
N/A
N/A
$6,591
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,571
N/A
N/A
$4,495
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,139
N/A
N/A
$2,345
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,237
N/A
N/A
$1,189
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,160
N/A
N/A
$1,512
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,103
N/A
N/A
$970
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected low temperature in Seattle on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions based on historical trends and seasonal patterns. It provides insight into potential weather extremes without predicting broader climate impacts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on August 17, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the recorded low falls within a given range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. While other weather sources may offer similar data, The Weather Company's report is the exclusive, binding authority for determination. This structure ensures clarity and objectivity in resolving the event, despite potential discrepancies among alternative weather data providers.