TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$8,263

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,821
N/A
N/A
$2,468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,119
N/A
N/A
$1,476
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,526
N/A
N/A
$726
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on authoritative meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Seattle on August 10, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Seattle-Tacoma, WA. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 50°F, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or above 57°F. The resolving authority will access the latest official data from the NWS website, following the navigation path specified in the secondary rules. Traders must recognize that preliminary readings may contain rounding or conversion nuances, and only the final official report determines outcomes. External weather services may offer guidance but hold no resolving power. All participants acknowledge that reporting frequencies vary across locations and should use the most current official data available at resolution time.