TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the city will be on that day.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on September 27, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the minimum temperature is less than 50°F, the '49° or below' market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 50-51°F, the '50° to 51°' market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for ranges of 52-53°F, 54-55°F, and 56-57°F. For any temperature above 57°F, the '58° or above' market resolves to Yes. All outcomes rely exclusively on The Weather Company's official reporting, with no alternative sources considered authoritative. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in initial reports. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.