TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, reflecting how climate conditions can vary significantly even within a single day in a given location. The outcome depends entirely on official meteorological data from a designated source, highlighting the importance of standardized measurements in verifying environmental conditions.
The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco’s CLISFO station on September 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls below 52°F, the '51° or below' market resolves positively. If it falls between 52°F and 53°F, the '52° to 53°' market resolves positively, and this pattern continues through successive markets for ranges of 54–55°F, 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and finally for temperatures of 60°F or higher. All markets share a common secondary rule emphasizing that while other weather services may offer guidance, only The Weather Company’s official report will be used for final resolution. Participants should also remain alert to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies in preliminary data, as these could affect interpretations before the official figure is released.