TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 1, 2026?

Volume:
$2,797

60° or above

 - Kalshi

60° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

60° or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,493
N/A
N/A
$1,095
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$883
N/A
N/A
$663
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, reflecting how climate conditions can vary significantly even within a single day in a given location. The outcome depends entirely on official meteorological data from a designated source, highlighting the importance of standardized measurements in verifying environmental conditions.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco’s CLISFO station on September 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls below 52°F, the '51° or below' market resolves positively. If it falls between 52°F and 53°F, the '52° to 53°' market resolves positively, and this pattern continues through successive markets for ranges of 54–55°F, 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and finally for temperatures of 60°F or higher. All markets share a common secondary rule emphasizing that while other weather services may offer guidance, only The Weather Company’s official report will be used for final resolution. Participants should also remain alert to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies in preliminary data, as these could affect interpretations before the official figure is released.