TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$4,191

55° to 56°

 - Kalshi

55° to 56° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$962
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
$884
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or below

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$717
N/A
N/A
$695
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
$494
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
No
kalshi

63° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$362
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting different climate scenarios for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 54°F or below, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, 61-62°F, or above 62°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and users should exercise caution when interpreting it. If the Exchange determines there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data is available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of “Final” on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt it from potential revisions under these rules.