TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$43,105

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,551
N/A
N/A
$1,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,992
N/A
N/A
$37,770
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,387
N/A
N/A
$1,315
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$858
N/A
N/A
$795
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$833
N/A
N/A
$743
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
$474
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55°F or below, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, or above 63°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation until a corrected revision is available or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.