TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$6,926

64° to 65°

 - Kalshi

64° to 65° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

64° to 65°

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,917
N/A
N/A
$1,222
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,180
N/A
N/A
$2,155
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,507
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$656
N/A
N/A
$536
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
$366
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess temperature ranges to determine the outcome, with precise criteria defining resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' The Weather Company serves as the exclusive source for temperature data, and preliminary readings may be subject to revision. In cases of material errors in the initial data publication, the exchange retains discretion to extend the expiration period until a corrected value is released or until the original expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the data from potential revisions under these rules.