TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 30, 2026?

Volume:
$2,002

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
$609
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting varying levels of cold weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 30, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 49°F or below, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or 58°F and above. The official temperature value used for resolution is solely determined by The Weather Company, and users should be cautious with preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the exchange may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the event from these resolution procedures.