TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 27, 2026?

Volume:
$2,278

55° to 56°

 - Kalshi

55° to 56° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$597
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
Yes
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$843
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
kalshi

57° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
$246
Settled
No
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$312
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
kalshi

48° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature recorded, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 27, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 48°F or below, 49-50°F, 51-52°F, 53-54°F, 55-56°F, or above 56°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending until a corrected version is released or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. While other weather sources may show different values, only The Weather Company's official report is used for resolution, and preliminary data may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion differences.