TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$10,970

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,675
N/A
N/A
$2,288
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,885
N/A
N/A
$5,771
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
$798
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$724
N/A
N/A
$636
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that day, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 50°F, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or above 57°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending until either a corrected value is published or the expiration date passes. If no valid data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may show different values, The Weather Company's report is the exclusive authority for resolution purposes, and preliminary readings may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion differences.