TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume:
$9,036

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,303
N/A
N/A
$3,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,377
N/A
N/A
$1,367
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,289
N/A
N/A
$1,289
Settled
No
kalshi

47° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,185
N/A
N/A
$1,103
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,096
N/A
N/A
$1,095
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$787
N/A
N/A
$569
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess temperature ranges to determine the outcome based on official measurements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 47° or below, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, 54-55°, or above 55°. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Preliminary data may include rounding or conversion differences, and the exchange retains discretion to address material errors in initial publications.